Post by goldenratio on Feb 18, 2019 21:42:21 GMT -5
I broke down Pffs top rated players that will be entering the 2019 NFL draft from only the 2018 college football season(was available for free on youtube). here is their list of top graded players in 2018:
1. Q williams
2.Kyler Murray
3. Christian wilkins
4. josh Allen
5. andy isabella
6. byron Murphy
7. Ed Oliver
8. Jonah williams
9. Ben Burr Kirven
10. Will Grier
11. jeffrey simmons
12. Jerry tillery
13. Dalton risner
14. devin White
15. Dre'mont Jones
16. Jachai polite
17 David Montgomery
18 deionte thompson
19 deandre baker
20. sutton smith
21. Brian burns
22. darrell henderson
23. brian peavey
24. Tevon Coney
25. Chase Winovich (yes he was rated higher than rashan gary and devin bush)
26. Julian Love
27. dexter lawrence
28 dwayne haskins
29. beau benzschawel,
30. jj arcega whiteside
Not that it matters much, but I found it interesting so am posting it. Some stuff does stick out immediately though. For example notice how high andy isabella graded in 2018. Even if you hate pff, you have to acknowledge that he did something to grade THAT high. I think he will be a star at the next level. I've never seen anyone as shifty as that kid i don't think. I could see him as one of those guys who drops and folks looking back and wondering how he did not go in round 1.
Christian Wilkins is another guy perhaps not getting the love he deserves i think. Enjoy!
Stats generally require very large sample sizes, but you simply do not get that in sports. That is why there will never be any magic bullet stat or stats. But the stats and pff grades are still very useful as part of the equation when evaluating talent. Pff does not measure talent.
What pff measures is production and only production and only according to their devised formulas. It does not tell you how that production came about. Or if a player is too small for the NFL, etc. etc. Fans that want it to be something it isn't are never going to appreciate it for what it is. But pff does a good job for what it is. Pff has actually improved each year since its inception. I expect it will continue to get better as time goes by and they figure things out more.
Stats are only as good as the interpretation or IF you actually utilize them and utilize them properly. Patrick Omameh is a perfect example. Had you not looked at his stats and pff grade and watched him in his playoff run with the jaguars (tiny sample size) you might go sign him to a big contract. you dint account for who was going up against, etc. etc. The smalls ample size threw you off in your film eval. Had you just gone off his playoff pff grade you'd see a high grade (in the 70s) and think he wa above average.
But had you simply gone off his career pff grade you'd have seen a poor pff grade in the 50s. Even had you looked at all that stuff, maybe you thought he was improved and would be better moving forward etc. But I think the prudent move would be to look at the overall pff grade(using the largest sample size) being low and not sign him to a big contract due to the red flag and indication that he isn't a very productive player worthy of such a big contract. Easy in hindsight though. the point is pff could keep a team out of trouble and help avoid bad signings if used that way potentially. You get the idea.