Post by grizz299 on Apr 5, 2020 0:04:00 GMT -5
Can't verify the source and even if I could the thinking and wasted energy this provokes is only for committed mad-men. Or an ordinary BBC poster. This is the kind of exercise that's about expenditures (of knowledge and time) when you know the answer already - "unknowable", indeterminate and everything but who gives a $%&!.. We do, compulsively so, to our dis-credit.
A No. 4 = 1800 pts. Their combined offering about 2050 so we make about 250 on the trade, so value wise it's not out of line. But is it.?
Because it's not about formulas it's about the actual players. HOw much do they value Simmons, or do they value him at all.?
My suspicion is that NY wants one of the tackles, so is it possible that the guy you want is there at 12 anyway.? Assume four quarterbcks go in the top ten then (in no speicial order Young, Simmons, Brown, Okuduh that's 8 almost sure to go early. That's not unreasonable in a world where "reasonable" is a concept not a fact and every draft has unanticipated surprises, unreasonalbe reaches, unsure things and guys dropping that were sure things .
Three away from one of the offensive tackles (assuming that's what they want).
Kenneth Murray, Chaisson, Jeudy, Lamb, Ruggs, Espensa, Ruggs, Gross Matos, Wirfs, Wills, Bencton, Andrew and a least one surprise that Dave or his fellow GM's (like Austin Jackson, Javon Kenlaw etc.) that's 12 players that all candidats for THREE SLOTS (9,10,11)....
.
I know it's a gamble but I could see all four of the tackles being there and one at least has to be.
Keep on pulling three out of that bunch and see what's left worse scenario, that's your 12th pick. Then pull 10 out of the bunch and that's your 19th. pick....
Take your worst combination and measure that against the player you would pick if you stayed at four. I'm not sold on Simmons, so for me I"d take the deal and hope for the tackle I wanted at 12 and an edge rusher at 19.
I also might ask for their second, since I think if they're quarterback driven (remember they still have CArr) and have to do an unfair trade according to the points.
Now that that fruitless exercise is over, the clock is ticking at one and I'm going to forget the indeterminate draft, go to bed. and wonder what is wrong with us and wheither we suffer a magnificent obsession or a foolish compulsion.
A No. 4 = 1800 pts. Their combined offering about 2050 so we make about 250 on the trade, so value wise it's not out of line. But is it.?
Because it's not about formulas it's about the actual players. HOw much do they value Simmons, or do they value him at all.?
My suspicion is that NY wants one of the tackles, so is it possible that the guy you want is there at 12 anyway.? Assume four quarterbcks go in the top ten then (in no speicial order Young, Simmons, Brown, Okuduh that's 8 almost sure to go early. That's not unreasonable in a world where "reasonable" is a concept not a fact and every draft has unanticipated surprises, unreasonalbe reaches, unsure things and guys dropping that were sure things .
Three away from one of the offensive tackles (assuming that's what they want).
Kenneth Murray, Chaisson, Jeudy, Lamb, Ruggs, Espensa, Ruggs, Gross Matos, Wirfs, Wills, Bencton, Andrew and a least one surprise that Dave or his fellow GM's (like Austin Jackson, Javon Kenlaw etc.) that's 12 players that all candidats for THREE SLOTS (9,10,11)....
.
I know it's a gamble but I could see all four of the tackles being there and one at least has to be.
Keep on pulling three out of that bunch and see what's left worse scenario, that's your 12th pick. Then pull 10 out of the bunch and that's your 19th. pick....
Take your worst combination and measure that against the player you would pick if you stayed at four. I'm not sold on Simmons, so for me I"d take the deal and hope for the tackle I wanted at 12 and an edge rusher at 19.
I also might ask for their second, since I think if they're quarterback driven (remember they still have CArr) and have to do an unfair trade according to the points.
Now that that fruitless exercise is over, the clock is ticking at one and I'm going to forget the indeterminate draft, go to bed. and wonder what is wrong with us and wheither we suffer a magnificent obsession or a foolish compulsion.